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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +112 996.51₸

Invest 137 115.21₸

Average return 250 111.72₸

ROI +82.4%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 353 325.52 ₸, profit at most −103 213.85 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −56 550.97 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

15 505.24 ₸

at 15 505.24

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

121 609.98 ₸

at 13 512.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137 115.21 ₸ +112 996.51 (+82.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 051 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

66 335.72 ₸

at 22 111.91

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

94 585.54 ₸

at 13 512.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 160 921.26 ₸ +70 448.49 (+43.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384 461.38 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

163 522.31 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

316 963.94 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

64 313.49 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +101 417.15 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +112 997.21 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Winter Offensive Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2543713 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 115 242.10₸ · invest 128 417.32₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested)
Craft 2523215 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 111 784.27₸ · invest 140 936.31₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2543830 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 104 015.99₸ · invest 137 426.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074819 instead of 0.074334

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build