The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −1 975.15₸

Invest 153 258.24₸

Average return 151 283.09₸

ROI −1.3%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 378 547.87 ₸, profit at most −227 264.79 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −14 932.13 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×5

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

153 258.24 ₸

at 30 651.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 153 258.24 ₸ −1 975.15 (−1.3%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 8%
Above the Steam cap 15%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

144 446.80 ₸ 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

107 542.19 ₸ 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

154 452.35 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

130 154.13 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

300 980.15 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 246.63 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167 558.17 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

804 701.55 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 631.54 ₸ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

164 525.65 ₸ 7.69%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

93 614.21 ₸ 7.69%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → a knife or gloves

Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 3 Classified → Covert

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20 196.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2 156.07 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build