The Dead Hand Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +198 970.52₸

Invest 462 627.35₸

Average return 661 597.87₸

ROI +43.0%

Chance of profit 73%

With float: invest at least 1 073 977.79 ₸, profit at most −412 379.87 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −296 506.68 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

364 403.51 ₸

at 91 100.88

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

98 223.83 ₸

at 98 223.83

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 462 627.35 ₸ +198 970.52 (+43.0%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 69%
Losing outcome 19%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

599 339.61 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

911 794.56 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

767 705.62 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

678 043.32 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

433 194.35 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 303.73 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

767 901.77 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

713 806.07 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

677 664.00 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

677 212.24 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384 009.62 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 010 403.19 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

642 050.52 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

632 206.30 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

629 789.30 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 703.06 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

394 852.23 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 827.51 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

628 163.66 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 907 398.29 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

774 795.86 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

858 374.38 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

545 487.90 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

466 784.02 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

580 709.67 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

583 355.76 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

316 320.02 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409 742.76 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 716 748.82 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

767 404.81 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384 009.62 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

459 907.96 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

751 571.10 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 364 403.51 → 861 814.31 ₸

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 98 223.83 → 212 163.48 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +192 011.97 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +196 802.88 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544404 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 198 970.55₸ · invest 462 627.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2544771 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 188 508.98₸ · invest 390 981.68₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2544775 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 188 508.98₸ · invest 390 981.68₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2544927 · The Phoenix Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 184 267.57₸ · invest 414 145.15₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2544930 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 184 267.57₸ · invest 414 145.15₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2544989 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 184 028.05₸ · invest 414 384.67₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544992 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 184 028.05₸ · invest 414 384.67₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544979 · The Vanguard Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 181 814.13₸ · invest 416 598.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544982 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 181 814.13₸ · invest 416 598.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544487 · The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 180 853.53₸ · invest 395 055.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2544490 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 180 853.53₸ · invest 395 055.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2544905 · The Huntsman Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 179 947.05₸ · invest 398 492.95₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544908 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 179 947.05₸ · invest 398 492.95₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544955 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 179 178.69₸ · invest 419 234.03₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2544957 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 179 178.69₸ · invest 419 234.03₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build