The Recoil Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +401.88$

Invest 592.00$

Average return 993.88$

ROI +67.9%

Chance of profit 75%

With float: invest at least 1 355.51 $, profit at most −361.62 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −212.36 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

374.58 $

at 93.65

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

217.42 $

at 217.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 592.00 $ +401.88 (+67.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 23%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

265.80 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

977.46 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

266.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

342.53 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

881.71 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 106.55 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

191.15 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 065.32 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 742.93 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

999.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 106.74 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 069.66 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

941.00 $ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 593.73 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

903.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 555.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

607.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 690.53 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 634.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222.43 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

983.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

416.90 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 900.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

1 207.43 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 033.22 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 285.39 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 291.25 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700.17 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

906.96 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 800.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 698.64 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 018.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 663.59 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 4 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 374.58 → 885.89 $

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 217.42 → 469.62 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +370.57 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +398.25 $ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544445 · The Breakout Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 401.88$ · invest 592.00$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2545519 · The Recoil Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 369.34$ · invest 484.68$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2545520 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 369.34$ · invest 484.68$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2545621 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 368.81$ · invest 485.21$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2545622 · The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 368.81$ · invest 485.21$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2545615 · The Vanguard Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 363.91$ · invest 490.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009154 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2545616 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 363.91$ · invest 490.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009154 instead of 0.008758

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build