The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −42 038.53₴

Invest at least 100 963.83₴

Average return 58 925.30₴

ROI −41.6%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 100 963.83 ₴, profit at most −42 038.53 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 122 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −24 463.59 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1043

6 987.55 ₴

at 6 987.55

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

36 308.98 ₴

at 9 077.24

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 43 296.52 ₴ +15 628.78 (+36.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.1% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 347 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1027

13 975.09 ₴

at 6 987.55

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

27 231.73 ₴

at 9 077.24

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 41 206.83 ₴ +8 683.17 (+21.1%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 4%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 717.88 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 850.73 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 493.79 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 559.88 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 163.26 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 034.86 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 513.33 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 123.26 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 522.09 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 477.07 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 262.52 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 315.52 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 973.58 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 992.71 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 751.88 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 607.59 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 342.87 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 760.60 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 589.90 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 052.17 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 200.25 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

20 003.83 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

19 023.56 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 650.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

11 392.22 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

9 341.04 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 470.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 071.35 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 608.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 238.59 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

8 129.90 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

7 006.95 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 810.55 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 077.50 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 526.36 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 617.68 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 742.08 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

6 166.18 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 521.64 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

78 709.89 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

62 555.09 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

49 532.03 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

43 678.29 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

34 041.96 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 556.09 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

52 904.04 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

37 750.16 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

37 148.48 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

23 191.51 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

30 861.19 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 987.55 → 15 093.10 ₴

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 36 308.98 → 85 870.73 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14 803.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 381.33 ₴ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544859 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 777.27₴ · invest 41 510.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544862 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 15 777.27₴ · invest 41 510.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544563 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 15 707.88₴ · invest 43 217.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 042 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544565 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 707.88₴ · invest 43 217.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 042 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544883 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 677.76₴ · invest 43 669.25₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 544 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544886 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 15 677.76₴ · invest 43 669.25₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 544 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544643 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 15 628.78₴ · invest 43 296.52₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 122 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2544245 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 15 538.80₴ · invest 44 086.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 354 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544247 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 538.80₴ · invest 44 086.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 354 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544869 · The Fever Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 488.52₴ · invest 40 657.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544871 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 15 488.52₴ · invest 40 657.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544603 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 15 290.58₴ · invest 43 634.72₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 460 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544605 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 290.58₴ · invest 43 634.72₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 460 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544961 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 233.89₴ · invest 41 778.16₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 610 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544963 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 15 233.89₴ · invest 41 778.16₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 610 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544975 · The Spectrum Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 230.63₴ · invest 42 807.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 206 ₴ sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544977 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 15 230.63₴ · invest 42 807.09₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 206 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544971 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 115.92₴ · invest 42 921.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 320 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544973 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 15 115.92₴ · invest 42 921.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 320 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544933 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 14 874.85₴ · invest 42 116.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −703 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063
Craft 2544935 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 14 874.85₴ · invest 42 116.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −703 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.006063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build