The Fever Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +344.08$

Invest 903.21$

Average return 1 247.29$

ROI +38.1%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 2 116.29 $, profit at most −869.00 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −538.88 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

96.61 $

at 96.61

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

806.60 $

at 201.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 903.21 $ +344.08 (+38.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 $

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

193.22 $

at 96.61

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

604.95 $

at 201.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 798.17 $ +186.66 (+23.4%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −178 $

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×3

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

289.83 $

at 96.61

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

403.30 $

at 201.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 693.13 $ +29.25 (+4.2%)

What you get 50 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 35%
Above the Steam cap 4%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 326.63 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 018.24 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 699.31 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 500.84 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

958.87 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 200.38 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 699.74 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 580.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 500.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 499.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 450.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 421.17 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 399.38 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 394.03 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 612.97 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

874.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.99 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 390.43 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 222.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 715.00 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

222.64 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

150.13 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

119.18 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

83.41 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

50.24 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200.07 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

230.07 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

139.33 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

123.05 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

84.03 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

67.97 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

396.21 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

401.42 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

257.60 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

221.32 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

178.08 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

136.98 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

345.11 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

667.20 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

416.83 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

329.74 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

291.38 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

178.67 $ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

488.37 $ 0.71%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

59.64 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

55.74 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

144.57 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

257.60 $ 0.71%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 96.61 → 208.68 $

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 806.60 → 1 907.61 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +332.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +339.30 $ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544859 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 350.49$ · invest 922.15$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544862 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 350.49$ · invest 922.15$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544563 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 348.95$ · invest 960.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544565 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 348.95$ · invest 960.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −45 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544883 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 348.28$ · invest 970.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 2544886 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 348.28$ · invest 970.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 2544643 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 347.19$ · invest 961.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544645 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 347.19$ · invest 961.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −47 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544245 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 345.19$ · invest 979.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −30 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544247 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 345.19$ · invest 979.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −30 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544871 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 344.08$ · invest 903.21$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2544603 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 339.68$ · invest 969.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544605 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 339.68$ · invest 969.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544961 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 338.42$ · invest 928.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 2544963 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 338.42$ · invest 928.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −36 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 2544975 · The Spectrum Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 338.35$ · invest 950.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −27 $ sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544977 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 338.35$ · invest 950.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −27 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544971 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 335.80$ · invest 953.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −29 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544973 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 335.80$ · invest 953.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −29 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544933 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 330.44$ · invest 935.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 2544935 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 330.44$ · invest 935.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 50 outcomes

More

How to build