The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −1 982.01$

Invest at least 5 125.11$

Average return 3 143.10$

ROI −38.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 5 125.11 $, profit at most −1 982.01 $

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −1 805.91 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

201.65 $

at 201.65

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

1 982.89 $

at 495.72

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 2 184.54 $ +958.56 (+43.9%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 71%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 476.39 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 593.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

896.61 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 153.51 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

657.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 610.49 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 647.50 $ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 179.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

743.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 000.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 668.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

590.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 229.86 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 721.41 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 300.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 300.69 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 500.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 399.95 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 035.32 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

570.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 534.71 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 326.63 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 018.24 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 699.31 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.91%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 500.84 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

958.87 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 200.38 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 699.74 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 580.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 500.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 499.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 450.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 421.17 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 399.38 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 394.03 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 612.97 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

874.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.99 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 390.43 $ 0.91%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 222.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 715.00 $ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +918.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +939.05 $ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2544719 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 960.30$ · invest 2 067.46$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544720 · The Clutch Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 960.30$ · invest 2 067.46$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012199 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544921 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 958.56$ · invest 2 184.54$
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2545467 · The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 948.92$ · invest 2 076.54$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545468 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 948.92$ · invest 2 076.54$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545469 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 938.24$ · invest 2 089.52$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545470 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 938.24$ · invest 2 089.52$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012869 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545477 · The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 934.31$ · invest 2 091.15$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012831 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545478 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 934.31$ · invest 2 091.15$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012831 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544433 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 897.49$ · invest 2 200.31$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544434 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 897.49$ · invest 2 200.31$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544809 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 874.33$ · invest 2 041.72$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2544810 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 874.33$ · invest 2 041.72$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545461 · The Phoenix Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 864.94$ · invest 2 092.99$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545462 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 864.94$ · invest 2 092.99$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545487 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 864.41$ · invest 2 093.52$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.013513
Craft 2545488 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 864.41$ · invest 2 093.52$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.013513

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build