The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −77.37$

Invest 371.27$

Average return 293.90$

ROI −20.8%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 837.33 $, profit at most −543.43 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −171.86 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

172.65 $

at 43.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4538

198.62 $

at 198.62

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 371.27 $ −77.37 (−20.8%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

510.88 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

262.18 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

199.07 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

131.82 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

202.49 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

110.10 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

78.41 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

259.46 $ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

86.94 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

116.98 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

389.25 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

1 942.39 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

1 797.55 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

1 219.13 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

750.38 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

790.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

559.84 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

681.98 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

586.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

952.91 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

438.73 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

410.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

591.37 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 062.62 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −93.81 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −78.39 $ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2547119 · The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −77.37$ · invest 371.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2547115 · The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −82.17$ · invest 371.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.213443 instead of 0.167783; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.463792 instead of 0.453865
Craft 2547120 · The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −82.17$ · invest 371.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.463792 instead of 0.453865; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.213443 instead of 0.167783

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build