The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −175.28$

Invest 450.70$

Average return 275.42$

ROI −38.9%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 992.87 $, profit at most −717.45 $

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −224.58 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

165.16 $

at 165.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0808

193.53 $

at 64.51

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

92.02 $

at 92.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 450.70 $ −175.28 (−38.9%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.2% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

138.17 $

at 138.17

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

330.32 $

at 165.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

129.02 $

at 64.51

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 597.51 $ −177.08 (−29.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 8.4% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

276.35 $

at 138.17

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

330.32 $

at 165.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

64.51 $

at 64.51

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 671.17 $ −178.24 (−26.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 16%
Losing outcome 70%
Above the Steam cap 14%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

306.94 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.030588

686.42 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

345.11 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

193.12 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

432.62 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

136.98 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

343.04 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

194.01 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

150.13 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

95.64 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120941

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

149.55 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

777.37 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

380.12 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

777.25 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

295.95 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

632.96 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

220.38 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

479.60 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

201.29 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

638.18 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

219.11 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

294.15 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

188.77 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

116.38 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

300.63 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

132.68 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

447.08 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

100.17 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

1 667.00 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

1 039.83 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

1 145.00 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

1 190.43 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 790.00 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

834.10 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006588

1 121.18 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.039529

899.29 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

1 188.90 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

889.55 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

582.17 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 165.16 → 356.75 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 193.53 → 437.37 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 92.02 → 198.76 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.082352841

outcomes come out up to 0.006588, 0.030588, 0.082352, 0.082352, 0.082352, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.120941, 0.000000, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176, 0.006588, 0.039529, 0.053529, 0.082352, 0.069999, 0.041176

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −194.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −180.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2551950 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −172.97$ · invest 431.81$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074969 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.004347 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2551958 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −172.97$ · invest 431.81$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074969 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.004347 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2550331 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −175.28$ · invest 450.70$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2548579 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −176.68$ · invest 447.06$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077195 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.006296 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2548588 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −176.68$ · invest 447.06$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077195 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.006296 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2548275 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −179.54$ · invest 449.92$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081344 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009926 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2548284 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −179.54$ · invest 449.92$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081344 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009926 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2547964 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −187.55$ · invest 457.93$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081068 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009685 instead of 0.009535
Craft 2547973 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −187.55$ · invest 457.93$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081068 instead of 0.080897; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009685 instead of 0.009535

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build