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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −24.64₴

Invest at least 55.33₴

Average return 30.69₴

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 55.33 ₴, profit at most −24.64 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

13.14 ₴

at 2.19

Steam

×1

MP7 | Motherboard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.78 ₴

at 3.78

Steam

×3

Nova | Morning Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

6.28 ₴

at 2.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.20 ₴ +7.50 (+32.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

in profit

best

AWP | Acheron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

92.27 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

23.60 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

23.17 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

21.85 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

float up to 0.180722

19.33 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.180722

20.54 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

float up to 0.180722

19.65 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Sultan

Field-Tested

float up to 0.180722

35.66 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Anubis Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 4 The Bank Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.56 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2600652 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 7.32₴ · invest 28.25₴
R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162577 instead of 0.162164; MP7 | Motherboard (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Motherboard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074231
Craft 2602088 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 6.74₴ · invest 23.09₴
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build