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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −3 669.95₸

Invest at least 12 023.78₸

Average return 8 353.88₸

ROI −30.5%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 12 023.78 ₸, profit at most −3 669.95 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

687.82 ₸

at 229.27

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3 338.73 ₸

at 834.68

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 138.60 ₸

at 379.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 165.15 ₸ +3 188.74 (+61.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −251 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 669.36 ₸

at 834.68

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

819.95 ₸

at 273.32

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 897.67 ₸

at 379.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 386.98 ₸ +1 518.62 (+34.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 57%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 10%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 531.30 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

22 388.95 ₸ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 968.52 ₸ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 885.95 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 890.70 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

7 219.01 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 825.67 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 578.42 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601873 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 3 778.54₸ · invest 6 025.20₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074009 instead of 0.074374; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003508 instead of 0.003828
Craft 2602091 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3 737.68₸ · invest 5 294.84₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2601503 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 3 185.10₸ · invest 5 287.02₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074374; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004049 instead of 0.003828
Craft 2601782 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 3 113.69₸ · invest 5 090.07₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074374; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003505 instead of 0.003828
Craft 2602138 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3 011.18₸ · invest 5 869.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2601548 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 2 997.98₸ · invest 5 422.97₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075156 instead of 0.074374; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004512 instead of 0.003828

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build