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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.61$

Invest at least 1.35$

Average return 0.75$

ROI −44.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.35 $, profit at most −0.61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.24 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.26 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Submerged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

0.08 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.58 $ +0.17 (+29.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.12 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.32 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir M249 | Submerged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

0.12 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.56 $ +0.15 (+27.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.19 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.13 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Submerged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

0.24 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.57 $ +0.06 (+10.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.36 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.19 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Submerged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.04 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.59 $ +0.19 (+31.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 25%

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074468

0.64 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.84 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.79 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.45 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Mud-Spec

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108723

0.81 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Echoing Sands

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.136170

0.66 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Azure Glyph

Field-Tested

float up to 0.155957

0.24 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Desert Tactical

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.148936

0.62 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Anubis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Anubis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2601399 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 0.21$ · invest 0.53$
PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074008 instead of 0.074739; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074008 instead of 0.074739
Craft 2602982 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 0.19$ · invest 0.52$
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.074739; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.074739
Craft 2602900 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 0.18$ · invest 0.59$
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074808 instead of 0.074739; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074808 instead of 0.074739; Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163824 instead of 0.163625

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build