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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.18$

Invest at least 1.17$

Average return 0.99$

ROI −15.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1.17 $, profit at most −0.18 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.18 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.19 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×4

SSG 08 | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

0.14 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.51 $ +0.48 (+93.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

0.18 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

0.12 $

at 0.03

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

0.10 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.40 $ +0.22 (+55.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.39 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.26 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Buff Blue

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.72 $ +0.52 (+72.0%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

1.27 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1.55 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

2.50 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.041124

1.45 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

0.39 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.26 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.23 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.45 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.30 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.46 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

float up to 0.059362

0.15 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Factory New

float up to 0.065624

0.28 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

0.18 $ 4.44%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.37 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2603002 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 0.48$ · invest 0.50$
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075260 instead of 0.075121; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075260 instead of 0.075121
Craft 2602944 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 0.47$ · invest 0.50$
Negev | Sour Grapes: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075121; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075121; SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New): float at most 0.004273 instead of 0.004481
Craft 2603466 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.45$ · invest 0.49$
XM1014 | Canvas Cloud (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075121; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074883 instead of 0.075121
Craft 2602845 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 0.45$ · invest 0.50$
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.075121; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.075121
Craft 2601398 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 0.42$ · invest 0.58$
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.075121; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074768 instead of 0.075121
Craft 2603261 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 0.37$ · invest 0.45$
MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074170 instead of 0.075121; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074170 instead of 0.075121

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

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How to build