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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −22.51₴

Invest at least 46.88₴

Average return 24.37₴

ROI −48.0%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 46.88 ₴, profit at most −22.51 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

5.01 ₴

at 2.51

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

8.03 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×5

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

7.15 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.19 ₴ +4.18 (+20.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

2.51 ₴

at 2.51

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

13.38 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×4

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

5.72 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.61 ₴ +6.39 (+29.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

5.35 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

20.31 ₴

at 2.90

souvenirSteam

×1

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.43 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.10 ₴ +11.81 (+43.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

5.01 ₴

at 2.51

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

5.35 ₴

at 2.68

souvenirSteam

×1

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

1.35 ₴

at 1.35

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Desert Storm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.15 ₴

at 1.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.86 ₴ +1.88 (+10.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

57.26 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

37.73 ₴ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

35.40 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.057162

65.25 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.92 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7.86 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4.50 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.54 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

2.90 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.54 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build