to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit at most · with float −0.74$

Invest at least 1.71$

Average return 0.97$

ROI −43.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.71 $, profit at most −0.74 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.24 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.32 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

0.16 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.73 $ +0.25 (+34.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.18 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.19 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

0.66 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.03 $ +0.02 (+2.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.24 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.26 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

0.33 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.82 $ +0.17 (+21.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.24 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.19 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAG-7 | Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.49 $

at 0.16

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.92 $ +0.10 (+10.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 22%
About break-even 22%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.27 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

0.84 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

0.79 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

1.45 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.56 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Night

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.52 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.10 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.37 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build