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The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −17.56$

Invest at least 50.63$

Average return 33.07$

ROI −34.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 50.63 $, profit at most −17.56 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Triarch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

10.00 $

at 1.67

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

6.40 $

at 2.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.52 $ +11.55 (+53.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

10.24 $

at 5.12

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Triarch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.33 $

at 1.67

Steam

×6

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

12.79 $

at 2.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.37 $ +10.94 (+41.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

10.24 $

at 5.12

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

7.69 $

at 7.69

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Triarch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

1.67 $

at 1.67

Steam

×6

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

12.79 $

at 2.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.39 $ +9.16 (+28.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

×4

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

30.76 $

at 7.69

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

10.66 $

at 2.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.54 $ +3.49 (+7.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

23.07 $

at 7.69

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Directive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

1.47 $

at 1.47

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

10.66 $

at 2.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.32 $ +5.47 (+13.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AUG | Syd Mead

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

29.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

MP9 | Airlock

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.51 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42.98 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

78.75 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

77.83 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

89.16 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2626988 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 12.79$ · invest 18.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076274 instead of 0.074088; MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): float at most 0.005489 instead of 0.003577
Craft 2605826 · The Achroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 12.68$ · invest 17.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested)
Craft 2626840 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 12.46$ · invest 21.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080024 instead of 0.074088; MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): float at most 0.008771 instead of 0.003577
Craft 2626786 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 12.01$ · invest 20.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build