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The Arabesque Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −66.41₴

Invest at least 331.36₴

Average return 264.94₴

ROI −20.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 331.36 ₴, profit at most −66.41 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

59.06 ₴

at 19.69

Steam

×2

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

11.87 ₴

at 5.94

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

69.49 ₴

at 13.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 140.42 ₴ +124.52 (+88.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

39.37 ₴

at 19.69

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

162.18 ₴

at 40.54

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

55.59 ₴

at 13.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 257.14 ₴ +168.29 (+65.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

96.15 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120.39 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172.15 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

87.65 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124.28 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

930.42 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

582.01 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

693.54 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +84.62 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +112.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2608173 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 161.51₴ · invest 157.92₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163723 instead of 0.162021
Craft 2608243 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 152.43₴ · invest 151.05₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.162021
Craft 2608495 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 121.23₴ · invest 252.53₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161653 instead of 0.162021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build