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The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.61$

Invest at least 1.07$

Average return 0.46$

ROI −57.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.07 $, profit at most −0.61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Morning Sun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

0.14 $

at 0.05

Steam

×7

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

0.30 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.43 $ +0.02 (+5.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

0.42 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

0.35 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.01 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

0.32 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

0.43 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

0.46 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

0.44 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Sultan

Field-Tested

float up to 0.166666

0.79 $ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.03 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2634363 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.03$ · invest 0.44$
AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2634151 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.03$ · invest 0.41$
Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested), SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested); Nova | Wurst Hölle: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 7; Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162277 instead of 0.166666

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build