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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −109.92₴

Invest at least 206.21₴

Average return 96.29₴

ROI −53.3%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 206.21 ₴, profit at most −109.92 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

23.78 ₴

at 23.78

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

58.88 ₴

at 6.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.66 ₴ +13.64 (+16.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 96%
Losing outcome 4%

in profit

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

106.76 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

79.09 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

120.16 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

118.99 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.064499

325.27 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

88.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.35 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.74 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2622816 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 14.60₴ · invest 85.61₴
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162786 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2601696 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 14.57₴ · invest 81.62₴
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176816 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2622694 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13.83₴ · invest 80.66₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163032 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2622889 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13.57₴ · invest 79.73₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 2622940 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 13.23₴ · invest 72.22₴
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172797 instead of 0.165610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build