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The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −71.44$

Invest at least 183.95$

Average return 112.52$

ROI −38.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 183.95 $, profit at most −71.44 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

11.44 $

at 11.44

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

60.55 $

at 6.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.99 $ +40.53 (+56.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

14.59 $

at 7.29

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

22.89 $

at 11.44

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

40.36 $

at 6.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.84 $ +15.06 (+19.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

21.88 $

at 7.29

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

22.89 $

at 11.44

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

33.64 $

at 6.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.41 $ +7.96 (+10.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5.75 $

at 5.75

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

22.89 $

at 11.44

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

47.09 $

at 6.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.73 $ +23.71 (+31.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

29.18 $

at 7.29

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

22.89 $

at 11.44

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

26.91 $

at 6.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.97 $ +0.85 (+1.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178.99 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94.83 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

64.53 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

58.92 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2612434 · The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 42.84$ · invest 86.28$
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build