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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float −38.84$

Invest 99.90$

Average return 61.05$

ROI −38.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 99.90 $, profit −38.84 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7436

5.00 $

at 5.00

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4173

54.52 $

at 6.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.52 $ +1.54 (+2.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

69.21 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359999

75.79 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

59.56 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

39.76 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621718 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 1.69$ · invest 59.53$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2621848 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 1.64$ · invest 65.62$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn): float at most 0.439224 instead of 0.417372
Craft 2621753 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.61$ · invest 59.83$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn): float at most 0.409090 instead of 0.417372
Craft 2619606 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.57$ · invest 60.94$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn): float at most 0.413934 instead of 0.417372

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build