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The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −15.49$

Invest at least 44.73$

Average return 29.24$

ROI −34.6%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 44.73 $, profit at most −15.49 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

0.95 $

at 0.95

Steam

×7

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

12.13 $

at 1.73

Steam

×2

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

5.31 $

at 2.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.40 $ +10.84 (+58.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 87%
Losing outcome 13%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57.99 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.93 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25.34 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

19.06 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

float up to 0.039199

15.28 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Decimator

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

45.01 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.70 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2612352 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 13.84$ · invest 19.68$
outcome without sales

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162105 instead of 0.162532; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074359
Craft 2620807 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 11.30$ · invest 18.56$
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested), M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074359

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build