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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −30 285.41₸

Invest at least 50 666.97₸

Average return 20 381.55₸

ROI −59.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 50 666.97 ₸, profit at most −30 285.41 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5624

2 756.31 ₸

at 2 756.31

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5624

17 001.27 ₸

at 1 889.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 757.58 ₸ +623.97 (+3.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

23 562.52 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

21 948.26 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

30 174.66 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

29 004.54 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 937.50 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −184.80 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621709 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 632.42₸ · invest 19 757.58₸
MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.562499; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2624542 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 586.48₸ · invest 18 434.23₸
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2623972 · The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 582.07₸ · invest 18 753.16₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.624894 instead of 0.562499

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build