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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −66.49$

Invest at least 173.06$

Average return 106.56$

ROI −38.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 173.06 $, profit at most −66.49 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

19.22 $

at 6.41

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

15.23 $

at 7.61

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

38.86 $

at 7.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.30 $ +33.26 (+45.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

19.22 $

at 6.41

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

42.01 $

at 8.40

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

15.54 $

at 7.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.77 $ +3.20 (+4.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

25.62 $

at 6.41

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

8.40 $

at 8.40

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

38.86 $

at 7.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.88 $ +23.05 (+31.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

25.62 $

at 6.41

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

16.81 $

at 8.40

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

31.09 $

at 7.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.51 $ +17.10 (+23.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 15%

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

105.01 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

176.78 $ 35.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

84.05 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

75.42 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 only The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.54 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2635678 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 42.38$ · invest 83.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164295 instead of 0.166193; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164295 instead of 0.166193
Craft 2624461 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 42.16$ · invest 73.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2631855 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 41.69$ · invest 73.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163293 instead of 0.166193; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163293 instead of 0.166193
Craft 2621225 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 41.46$ · invest 77.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)
Craft 2635645 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 38.84$ · invest 68.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162559 instead of 0.166193; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162559 instead of 0.166193
Craft 2635516 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 35.03$ · invest 61.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163239 instead of 0.166193; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163239 instead of 0.166193
Craft 2620208 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 32.37$ · invest 72.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162905 instead of 0.166193

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build