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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −121.81₽

Invest at least 589.08₽

Average return 467.27₽

ROI −20.7%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 589.08 ₽, profit at most −121.81 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

40.56 ₽

at 13.52

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

45.02 ₽

at 22.51

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

161.10 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 246.68 ₽ +220.59 (+89.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

12.67 ₽

at 12.67

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

67.53 ₽

at 22.51

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

193.32 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.52 ₽ +257.49 (+94.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 866.33 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

621.59 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

464.28 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

663.32 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

116.67 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

282.39 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

167.07 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

194.05 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

94.03 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +138.97 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +190.68 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2611325 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 285.31₽ · invest 291.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074173 instead of 0.074261
Craft 2632003 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 233.53₽ · invest 245.98₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.074261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build