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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −542.50₽

Invest at least 966.06₽

Average return 423.57₽

ROI −56.2%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 966.06 ₽, profit at most −542.50 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4799

68.89 ₽

at 68.89

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

71.44 ₽

at 35.72

Steam

×7

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

258.58 ₽

at 36.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 398.91 ₽ +24.66 (+6.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4829

137.78 ₽

at 68.89

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

168.00 ₽

at 84.00

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

35.72 ₽

at 35.72

Steam

×5

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

184.70 ₽

at 36.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 526.20 ₽ +20.43 (+3.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

212.88 ₽

at 70.96

Steam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

252.00 ₽

at 84.00

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

71.44 ₽

at 35.72

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

73.88 ₽

at 36.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 610.20 ₽ +18.48 (+3.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

598.00 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143571

383.53 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Jawbreaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

338.25 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

397.41 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.068571

1 905.79 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

431.85 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −25.96 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.63 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2621026 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 26.07₽ · invest 391.81₽
Galil AR | Galigator (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2628287 · The Genesis Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 25.79₽ · invest 366.71₽
UMP-45 | Continuum (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build