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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −418.94₽

Invest at least 735.75₽

Average return 316.81₽

ROI −56.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 735.75 ₽, profit at most −418.94 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

49.24 ₽

at 49.24

Steam

×7

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

168.63 ₽

at 24.09

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

90.22 ₽

at 45.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 308.09 ₽ +8.72 (+2.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114422

344.15 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110384

389.07 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100961

372.96 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

161.17 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

173.11 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

743.41 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

462.46 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

83.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −33.39 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.43 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2634412 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 8.42₽ · invest 321.59₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168342 instead of 0.161718; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.005582 instead of 0.003566

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build