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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −446.03₽

Invest at least 834.58₽

Average return 388.55₽

ROI −53.4%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 834.58 ₽, profit at most −446.03 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

140.65 ₽

at 28.13

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

75.30 ₽

at 37.65

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

141.93 ₽

at 47.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 357.88 ₽ +30.67 (+8.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 8%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.173076

159.78 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

149.45 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 326.50 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

359.33 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.287115

170.43 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359615

465.54 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

467.63 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244230

415.58 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109615

566.70 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20.80 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.03 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build