to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −261.02₴

Invest at least 893.84₴

Average return 632.82₴

ROI −29.2%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 893.84 ₴, profit at most −261.02 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

39.92 ₴

at 39.92

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

307.08 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 347.00 ₴ +285.82 (+82.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

30.49 ₴

at 30.49

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

119.77 ₴

at 39.92

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

170.60 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

58.82 ₴

at 58.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.67 ₴ +192.09 (+50.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

30.49 ₴

at 30.49

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

159.69 ₴

at 39.92

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

136.48 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

58.82 ₴

at 58.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 385.48 ₴ +165.93 (+43.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

30.49 ₴

at 30.49

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

199.62 ₴

at 39.92

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

102.36 ₴

at 34.12

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

58.82 ₴

at 58.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 391.28 ₴ +139.77 (+35.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 18%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 191.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

809.03 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

382.50 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

114.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

317.37 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

872.95 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

938.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

365.43 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

91.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 only The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +180.43 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +258.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2635779 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 289.89₴ · invest 376.28₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2629116 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 288.47₴ · invest 354.57₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2631100 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 278.27₴ · invest 382.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2635806 · The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 265.09₴ · invest 384.61₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163799 instead of 0.162562

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build