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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −323.39₴

Invest at least 568.62₴

Average return 245.23₴

ROI −56.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 568.62 ₴, profit at most −323.39 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

141.10 ₴

at 20.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

45.49 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

50.14 ₴

at 50.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.72 ₴ +8.51 (+3.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132352

175.75 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.220588

80.01 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114705

710.18 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110294

192.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252499

91.24 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070735

399.25 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

358.70 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 370.71 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

float up to 0.220588

155.22 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −24.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2623200 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 8.88₴ · invest 203.38₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164062 instead of 0.163722; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164062 instead of 0.163722

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build