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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −241.99₴

Invest at least 1 227.16₴

Average return 985.17₴

ROI −19.7%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 1 227.16 ₴, profit at most −241.99 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

359.77 ₴

at 44.97

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

133.64 ₴

at 66.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 493.41 ₴ +491.75 (+99.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −148 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

269.83 ₴

at 44.97

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

66.82 ₴

at 66.82

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

377.31 ₴

at 125.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 713.96 ₴ +331.85 (+46.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 102.88 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

1 020.32 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 066.43 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | Cartel

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 748.91 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 338.44 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 148.32 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +343.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +432.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2623738 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 475.04₴ · invest 470.98₴
sells slowly

XM1014 | Ziggy (Field-Tested), MP9 | Goo (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162355 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623709 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 466.94₴ · invest 403.19₴
sells slowly

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162129 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623470 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 462.97₴ · invest 427.22₴
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested)
Craft 2619624 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 448.92₴ · invest 421.17₴
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161715 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2618226 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 417.75₴ · invest 404.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested), Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162637 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623052 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 417.71₴ · invest 400.84₴
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested)
Craft 2621675 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 409.50₴ · invest 416.36₴
sells slowly

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163829 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623309 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 400.38₴ · invest 389.69₴
sells slowly

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161768 instead of 0.163747
Craft 2623547 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 399.32₴ · invest 397.81₴
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested), M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162494 instead of 0.163747

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build