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The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −75.63$

Invest at least 126.03$

Average return 50.40$

ROI −60.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 126.03 $, profit at most −75.63 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4977

37.52 $

at 4.17

Steam

×1

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

12.66 $

at 12.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.18 $ +0.22 (+0.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

52.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

48.44 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.256499

127.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

127.52 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.73 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624817 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 46.66$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.633333 instead of 0.497797
Craft 2624195 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 0.22$ · invest 43.02$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.497797
Craft 2624113 · The Fever Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.22$ · invest 41.49$
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.497797
Craft 2624079 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 0.21$ · invest 50.03$
rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) instead of P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested); M4A1-S | Mecha Industries: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.688747 instead of 0.497797

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build