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The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −245.91₴

Invest at least 445.44₴

Average return 199.53₴

ROI −55.2%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 445.44 ₴, profit at most −245.91 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

84.18 ₴

at 9.35

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

103.73 ₴

at 103.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.91 ₴ +11.62 (+6.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.049937

220.03 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

197.10 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087609

85.13 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083277

73.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.061326

151.02 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124831

353.99 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124831

3 077.11 ₴ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.017521

675.12 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.007008

535.43 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124831

289.63 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20.25 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.49 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2624891 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 12.41₴ · invest 222.10₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074745 instead of 0.075013

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build