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The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −8.36$

Invest at least 30.40$

Average return 22.04$

ROI −27.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 30.40 $, profit at most −8.36 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.63 $

at 0.63

Steam

×7

Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

8.88 $

at 1.27

Steam

×2

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

2.89 $

at 1.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.40 $ +9.64 (+77.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 7%
About break-even 13%

in profit

AWP | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30.00 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.05 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31.39 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

14.08 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

9.47 $ 6.67%

Steam

about break-even

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.82 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.34 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2612541 · The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 12.58$ · invest 16.11$
sells slowly

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162105 instead of 0.163725; Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074210 instead of 0.074774
Craft 2628680 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 10.36$ · invest 14.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163725; Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074774

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build