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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −228.75₽

Invest at least 845.73₽

Average return 616.98₽

ROI −27.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 845.73 ₽, profit at most −228.75 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

193.32 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

85.22 ₽

at 42.61

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

77.90 ₽

at 38.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 356.44 ₽ +260.54 (+73.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

32.22 ₽

at 32.22

Steam

×8

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

251.60 ₽

at 31.45

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

38.95 ₽

at 38.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 322.77 ₽ +14.03 (+4.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 32%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.064948

1 866.33 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072164

212.41 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.044742

464.28 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.064948

663.32 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072164

645.62 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

519.17 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072164

84.80 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.046907

147.48 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.061340

309.38 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +147.86 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +215.45 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2620347 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 277.59₽ · invest 325.45₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074381 instead of 0.074357; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074381 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2634746 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 256.57₽ · invest 378.40₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074357; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074502 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2634747 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 255.13₽ · invest 453.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074198 instead of 0.074357; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074198 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2626392 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 253.88₽ · invest 376.39₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074357; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2611326 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 247.95₽ · invest 284.07₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074732 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2636250 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 237.94₽ · invest 297.43₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074357; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2636605 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 235.38₽ · invest 292.63₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.074357; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074567 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2637530 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 233.65₽ · invest 319.38₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076577 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build