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The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −289.21₽

Invest at least 1 294.63₽

Average return 1 005.42₽

ROI −22.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 294.63 ₽, profit at most −289.21 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

233.70 ₽

at 38.95

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

189.84 ₽

at 63.28

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

129.17 ₽

at 129.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 552.71 ₽ +452.71 (+81.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

62.90 ₽

at 31.45

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

116.85 ₽

at 38.95

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

126.56 ₽

at 63.28

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

387.51 ₽

at 129.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 693.82 ₽ +503.99 (+72.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 12%

about break-even

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

645.62 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079882

168.96 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

84.80 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

147.48 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

309.38 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.038941

700.19 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.065882

6 470.42 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

2 530.00 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

234.24 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +250.56 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +361.95 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2638183 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 480.17₽ · invest 513.95₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2626596 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 477.34₽ · invest 671.25₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163409 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074664 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2610154 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 464.17₽ · invest 713.85₽
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2634905 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 460.08₽ · invest 720.06₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2628058 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 452.33₽ · invest 568.49₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161638 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074048 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2619141 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 450.53₽ · invest 498.98₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161600 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074034 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2614049 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 448.42₽ · invest 660.51₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2636113 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 438.27₽ · invest 645.21₽
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164351 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074991 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2617157 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 437.39₽ · invest 550.32₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162127 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2638027 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 436.34₽ · invest 545.21₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; P250 | Cyber Shell: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003752 instead of 0.004146; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2623812 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 434.85₽ · invest 654.21₽
rare inputs

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162260 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074264 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2634907 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 425.94₽ · invest 682.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162503 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2613024 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 403.57₽ · invest 665.84₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear), Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2626598 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 397.16₽ · invest 645.04₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161542 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074014 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2630278 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 379.75₽ · invest 715.75₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162705 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2635332 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 369.68₽ · invest 521.22₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161771 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074094 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2620537 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 369.31₽ · invest 456.28₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161830 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074115 instead of 0.074738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build