The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection
How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
What you get 78 outcomes
- Profitable outcome 6%
- Losing outcome 85%
- About break-even 1%
- Above the Steam cap 9%
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
average normalized 0.918750000
outcomes come out up to 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
No other variants in this recount
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2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
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Craft 2648098
· The Wildfire Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −82 158.68₸
· invest 137 438.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2648106
· The Shattered Web Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −82 158.68₸
· invest 137 438.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2646377
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −84 219.71₸
· invest 161 251.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.367222 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.629444 instead of 0.640000
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Craft 2646395
· The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 219.71₸
· invest 161 251.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.367222 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.629444 instead of 0.640000
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Craft 2648187
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −84 324.86₸
· invest 150 753.50₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
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Craft 2648188
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −84 324.86₸
· invest 150 753.50₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2648198
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 324.86₸
· invest 150 753.50₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
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Craft 2648199
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 324.86₸
· invest 150 753.50₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2648458
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 808.35₸
· invest 155 593.25₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2648466
· The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −84 808.35₸
· invest 155 593.25₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2643581
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −84 946.73₸
· invest 163 132.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2643592
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −84 946.73₸
· invest 163 132.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2646378
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −85 717.26₸
· invest 161 251.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2646396
· The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −85 717.26₸
· invest 161 251.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2648296
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −85 921.76₸
· invest 157 793.91₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear
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Craft 2648307
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −85 921.76₸
· invest 157 793.91₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear
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Craft 2646006
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −87 887.81₸
· invest 163 422.19₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2646024
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −87 887.81₸
· invest 163 422.19₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)
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Craft 2643582
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −88 535.49₸
· invest 163 132.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
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Craft 2643593
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −88 535.49₸
· invest 163 132.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants existStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
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Craft 2648496
· The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −88 918.67₸
· invest 159 703.56₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.