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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.87$

Invest at least 4.71$

Average return 3.84$

ROI −18.4%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 4.71 $, profit at most −0.87 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.08 $

at 0.08

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

0.97 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.31 $

at 0.31

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.64 $

at 0.32

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2.01 $ +1.83 (+91.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.15 $

at 0.15

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

0.49 $

at 0.16

Steam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.32 $

at 0.32

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3.14 $

at 0.63

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 4.10 $ +2.66 (+64.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

M4A4 | Converter

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

1.93 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

float up to 0.010181

0.68 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

0.98 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Check Engine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

0.65 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

4.09 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.30 $ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

4.82 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31.80 $ 7.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.08 → 0.18 $

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 0.97 → 2.44 $

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.31 → 0.67 $

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.64 → 1.42 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.127272627

outcomes come out up to 0.050909, 0.010181, 0.127272, 0.076363, 0.063636, 0.069999, 0.062363, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2670193 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1.99$ · invest 2.02$
Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162049 instead of 0.161897; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162049 instead of 0.161897
Craft 2670042 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.82$ · invest 1.79$
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162853 instead of 0.161897; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162853 instead of 0.161897
Craft 2670194 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1.70$ · invest 1.76$
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear), Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163468 instead of 0.161897; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163468 instead of 0.161897

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build