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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit · with float −1.98₽

Invest 65.69₽

Average return 63.72₽

ROI −3.0%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest 65.69 ₽, profit −1.98 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 23 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Well-Worn

any lot

5.40 ₽

at 5.40

Steam

×9

Dual Berettas | Stained

Battle-Scarred

any lot

57.42 ₽

at 6.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.82 ₽ +0.90 (+1.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Field-Tested

float up to 0.283500

113.33 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075600

102.50 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.567000

11.18 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Converter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.378000

64.80 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075600

56.21 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

41.80 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Check Engine

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.567000

44.00 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.95 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.71 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2698095 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.97₽ · invest 59.94₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Well-Worn); Dual Berettas | Stained (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.938249 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2698096 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.95₽ · invest 59.94₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Well-Worn)
Craft 2698097 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.94₽ · invest 59.94₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Well-Worn); Dual Berettas | Stained (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.934607 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2675192 · The Arabesque Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.94₽ · invest 60.39₽
rare inputs

Nova | Morning Sun (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Well-Worn); Dual Berettas | Stained (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build