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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −281.88₽

Invest at least 971.03₽

Average return 689.15₽

ROI −29.0%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 971.03 ₽, profit at most −281.88 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

117.00 ₽

at 58.50

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

164.65 ₽

at 32.93

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

135.30 ₽

at 45.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 416.95 ₽ +272.20 (+65.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 906.65 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

204.80 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

413.31 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

658.63 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

966.96 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.019444

1 087.18 ₽ 6.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

283.55 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +147.00 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +224.85 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2697230 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 346.39₽ · invest 453.35₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2700629 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 341.54₽ · invest 394.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2676758 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 328.95₽ · invest 444.15₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2702323 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 323.49₽ · invest 418.39₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2673093 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 322.79₽ · invest 416.61₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2701522 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 317.07₽ · invest 374.93₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2683511 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 316.36₽ · invest 397.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2704003 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 314.96₽ · invest 414.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2703319 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 313.77₽ · invest 382.79₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2694402 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 313.04₽ · invest 392.87₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2680387 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 309.14₽ · invest 405.91₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2696675 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 302.95₽ · invest 442.21₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2690206 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 302.78₽ · invest 438.21₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2692865 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 302.45₽ · invest 417.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2703940 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 302.02₽ · invest 365.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2682247 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 299.39₽ · invest 347.01₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074537 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074537 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2703974 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 297.77₽ · invest 388.39₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2684355 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 296.81₽ · invest 465.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2685381 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 296.58₽ · invest 363.59₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074185
Craft 2686788 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 266.98₽ · invest 340.59₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074185; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074185

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build