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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit at most · with float −17.08₽

Invest at least 117.19₽

Average return 100.11₽

ROI −14.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 117.19 ₽, profit at most −17.08 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

7.78 ₽

at 3.89

Steam

×6

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

29.52 ₽

at 4.92

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

11.72 ₽

at 5.86

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 49.02 ₽ +51.09 (+104.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

2.52 ₽

at 2.52

Steam

×3

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

11.67 ₽

at 3.89

Steam

×6

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

29.52 ₽

at 4.92

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 43.71 ₽ +35.95 (+82.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

5.04 ₽

at 2.52

Steam

×3

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

11.67 ₽

at 3.89

Steam

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

24.60 ₽

at 4.92

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 41.31 ₽ +28.12 (+68.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

7.56 ₽

at 2.52

Steam

×3

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

11.67 ₽

at 3.89

Steam

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

19.68 ₽

at 4.92

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 38.91 ₽ +20.29 (+52.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

107.42 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.57 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

198.94 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

118.70 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096833

17.39 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

24.65 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

21.31 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

20.75 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30.39 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +40.12 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2670029 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 49.19₽ · invest 48.80₽
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074079 instead of 0.074955
Craft 2669615 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 44.46₽ · invest 43.96₽
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074811 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074811 instead of 0.074955
Craft 2669562 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 44.36₽ · invest 44.35₽
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074955
Craft 2670031 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 43.19₽ · invest 43.90₽
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.074955
Craft 2669561 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 43.17₽ · invest 46.23₽
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074955
Craft 2669614 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 42.84₽ · invest 45.84₽
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074955
Craft 2670030 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 41.80₽ · invest 45.78₽
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074955; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074955

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build