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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −15.70₴

Invest at least 42.18₴

Average return 26.48₴

ROI −37.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 42.18 ₴, profit at most −15.70 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

4.58 ₴

at 2.29

Steam

×5

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

6.78 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

6.78 ₴

at 2.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.13 ₴ +8.35 (+46.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139285

48.94 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

37.24 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141428

18.82 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

19.33 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Acheron

Field-Tested

float up to 0.177857

44.38 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

23.14 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Exchanger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

23.24 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

20.97 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Anubis Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.40 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.27 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2696600 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 8.15₴ · invest 16.23₴
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear), P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested); MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 5; MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162275 instead of 0.163552; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162275 instead of 0.163552
Craft 2672815 · The Achroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 8.03₴ · invest 15.89₴
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested), FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested); MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161862 instead of 0.163552; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161862 instead of 0.163552
Craft 2696601 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 7.10₴ · invest 17.67₴
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested); MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163738 instead of 0.163552; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163738 instead of 0.163552

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build