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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −15 461.27₸

Invest at least 28 641.60₸

Average return 13 180.33₸

ROI −54.0%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 28 641.60 ₸, profit at most −15 461.27 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4763

8 497.95 ₸

at 8 497.95

souvenirSteam

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

1 807.96 ₸

at 451.99

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

2 433.29 ₸

at 486.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 739.19 ₸ +441.14 (+3.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 081.52 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

10 879.42 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 964.77 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

108 839.37 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082499

80 754.30 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 320.33 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −108.07 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build