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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −68.91₽

Invest at least 410.23₽

Average return 341.32₽

ROI −16.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 410.23 ₽, profit at most −68.91 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

80.73 ₽

at 26.91

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

6.38 ₽

at 6.38

Steam

×6

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

85.26 ₽

at 14.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172.37 ₽ +168.95 (+98.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

314.94 ₽

at 52.49

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

191.18 ₽

at 95.59

souvenirSteam

×2

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

28.42 ₽

at 14.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 534.54 ₽ +199.20 (+37.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

314.94 ₽

at 52.49

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

286.77 ₽

at 95.59

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

14.21 ₽

at 14.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 615.92 ₽ +196.31 (+31.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

216.00 ₽

at 54.00

Steam

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

192.00 ₽

at 64.00

souvenirSteam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

42.63 ₽

at 14.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 450.63 ₽ +204.63 (+45.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

203.36 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

141.37 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

float up to 0.065999

71.13 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71.11 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

342.14 ₽ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

693.94 ₽ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

403.11 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.054999

2 658.10 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The 2021 Vertigo Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +110.01 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +141.13 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2670159 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 174.35₽ · invest 130.73₽
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163164 instead of 0.165462
Craft 2670191 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 168.12₽ · invest 145.82₽
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear), Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164511 instead of 0.165462
Craft 2669628 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 160.01₽ · invest 147.48₽
Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163403 instead of 0.165462
Craft 2667038 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 157.54₽ · invest 174.64₽
MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear), Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162304 instead of 0.165462
Craft 2669906 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 153.23₽ · invest 174.81₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163604 instead of 0.165462
Craft 2669860 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 152.63₽ · invest 166.86₽
MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Sky Mandala: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162959 instead of 0.165462; XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New): float at most 0.003944 instead of 0.004705
Craft 2669574 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 152.51₽ · invest 157.78₽
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear), Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164581 instead of 0.165462
Craft 2669905 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 152.12₽ · invest 168.79₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163768 instead of 0.165462

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build