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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −89.74₸

Invest at least 621.37₸

Average return 531.63₸

ROI −14.4%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 621.37 ₸, profit at most −89.74 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

106.77 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

127.17 ₸

at 31.79

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

30.82 ₸

at 15.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 264.76 ₸ +266.87 (+100.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

186.85 ₸

at 26.69

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

120.12 ₸

at 60.06

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

15.41 ₸

at 15.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 322.38 ₸ +270.51 (+83.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

41.56 ₸

at 20.78

souvenirSteam

×4

Dual Berettas | BorDeux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

54.69 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

61.63 ₸

at 15.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.88 ₸ +6.24 (+4.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.054920

582.80 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

702.97 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

1 079.33 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.051624

643.99 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Grey Ghost

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71.13 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | O-Ranger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082380

31.79 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Steel Work

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076888

29.30 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Sedimentary

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074691

24.41 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

60.11 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Citric Acid

Factory New

float up to 0.065904

70.31 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +156.52 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +208.28 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2667784 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 277.20₸ · invest 265.95₸
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.074079
Craft 2669615 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 241.24₸ · invest 238.50₸
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074811 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074811 instead of 0.074079
Craft 2669562 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 240.66₸ · invest 240.62₸
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074163 instead of 0.074079
Craft 2670031 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 234.30₸ · invest 238.17₸
P250 | Sedimentary: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.074079; PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New): float at most 0.003528 instead of 0.003569
Craft 2669561 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 234.23₸ · invest 250.82₸
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074079
Craft 2669614 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 232.42₸ · invest 248.70₸
G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075282 instead of 0.074079
Craft 2670030 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 226.78₸ · invest 248.37₸
M4A4 | Steel Work: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P250 | Sedimentary: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074079; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075179 instead of 0.074079; PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New): float at most 0.004532 instead of 0.003569

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build