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The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −114.11₴

Invest at least 208.64₴

Average return 94.52₴

ROI −54.7%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 208.64 ₴, profit at most −114.11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Quicksilver

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

29.75 ₴

at 29.75

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

29.69 ₴

at 4.95

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

30.91 ₴

at 10.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.35 ₴ +4.17 (+4.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

101.66 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

80.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

130.76 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

87.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

81.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Naga

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

184.31 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Urban Shock

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

267.65 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Malachite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Serenity

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.55 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.40 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2687157 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4.18₴ · invest 85.92₴
rare inputs

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172479 instead of 0.169381; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077818 instead of 0.076741

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build