to all crafts

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −1 099.40₸

Invest at least 2 008.32₸

Average return 908.92₸

ROI −54.7%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 2 008.32 ₸, profit at most −1 099.40 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

299.48 ₸

at 49.91

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

311.85 ₸

at 103.95

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

255.48 ₸

at 255.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 866.81 ₸ +42.10 (+4.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

1 025.56 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

811.80 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

1 319.13 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

886.56 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

826.77 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

845.55 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

938.43 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 718.72 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

2 445.93 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

486.66 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −67.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.94 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2683895 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 42.08₸ · invest 911.47₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169381 instead of 0.172479; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076741 instead of 0.077818

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build