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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −5 669.52₽

Invest at least 10 288.92₽

Average return 4 619.40₽

ROI −55.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 10 288.92 ₽, profit at most −5 669.52 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4790

2 407.30 ₽

at 343.90

Steam

×2

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

1 070.00 ₽

at 535.00

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

826.67 ₽

at 826.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 303.97 ₽ +315.43 (+7.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4 884.80 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 239.00 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AUG | Chameleon

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

7 831.43 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.491599

7 300.58 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −275.13 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +215.42 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2683916 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 322.77₽ · invest 4 663.14₽
rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478882 instead of 0.479019; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162077 instead of 0.162135
Craft 2681554 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 321.56₽ · invest 4 635.48₽
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484393 instead of 0.479019; P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164382 instead of 0.162135

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build