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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −2 377.79₽

Invest at least 5 428.03₽

Average return 3 050.25₽

ROI −43.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 5 428.03 ₽, profit at most −2 377.79 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

459.09 ₽

at 153.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

259.25 ₽

at 259.25

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1 526.10 ₽

at 254.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 244.44 ₽ +805.81 (+35.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 056.78 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137646

3 511.48 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097882

3 996.85 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.152941

3 193.73 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

float up to 0.152941

611.41 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

float up to 0.152941

655.57 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +354.42 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +747.93 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2679440 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 037.66₽ · invest 2 610.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164978 instead of 0.161704
Craft 2690230 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 821.82₽ · invest 2 143.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164579 instead of 0.161704

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build