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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −222.00₽

Invest at least 474.07₽

Average return 252.08₽

ROI −46.8%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 474.07 ₽, profit at most −222.00 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

69.13 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×9

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

123.48 ₽

at 13.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.61 ₽ +59.47 (+30.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −174 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

376.72 ₽

at 47.09

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

69.13 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

13.72 ₽

at 13.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 459.57 ₽ +81.06 (+17.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −149 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

329.63 ₽

at 47.09

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

69.13 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

27.44 ₽

at 13.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 426.20 ₽ +78.36 (+18.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −123 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

282.54 ₽

at 47.09

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

69.13 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

41.16 ₽

at 13.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 392.83 ₽ +75.66 (+19.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −97 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

235.45 ₽

at 47.09

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

69.13 ₽

at 69.13

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

54.88 ₽

at 13.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 359.46 ₽ +72.96 (+20.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

167.44 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

232.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

360.47 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

335.48 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

146.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

458.90 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 631.13 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

685.43 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

450.83 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

89.70 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.84 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.36 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2679858 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 62.65₽ · invest 176.46₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2686087 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 62.39₽ · invest 152.06₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2690880 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 60.62₽ · invest 182.10₽
rare inputs

Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2690687 · The Fever Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 59.55₽ · invest 194.61₽
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076779 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2690517 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 59.30₽ · invest 182.48₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2691200 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 59.09₽ · invest 156.48₽
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2691228 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 56.96₽ · invest 167.70₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2683962 · The Chroma Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 56.49₽ · invest 206.36₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build